Sold Out Hotels at Disney World in Late 2022
Walt Disney World resort availability is extremely limited for this Christmas season through early January 2023, prompting reader questions and concerns. This post addresses what’s going on with the sold out hotels, lack of discounts, and commentary about what you can expect later next year. (Updated October 10, 2022.)
A couple of months ago, we warned that resorts were already selling out for the holiday season in our post, Don’t Wait for Discounts to Book Fall & Christmas 2022 Trips to Walt Disney World. The title pretty much says it all. Despite a temporary reprieve, pent-up demand appears to still be going strong for the most popular time of year to stay at Walt Disney World.
This essentially serves as a “heads up” to those thinking about last minute holiday trips or anyone wondering why many or most hotels are showing up as unavailable when searching for rooms. With some hotels already having limited available through early 2023, we’d strongly recommend booking your resort and other vacation components ASAP. Get something flexible and refundable locked-in now so you aren’t shut out or paying higher prices later. Additionally, we now have explanations as to why this is happening.
This appears to be history repeating itself, with a similar trend to what we saw last year around the start of Walt Disney World’s 50th Anniversary and Christmas, as well as earlier this year. With October through December being the busiest stretch of the year at Walt Disney World, you might want to book now if you’re already looking ahead to 2023.
One of the biggest changes on the limited hotel availability front since this time last year is that all previously-closed resorts have reopened. Port Orleans Riverside and French Quarter, plus All Star Music and Sports, as well as Animal Kingdom Lodge – Jambo House all reopened since last fall.
That’s over 15% of Walt Disney World’s total room inventory that’s now available for booking but was not earlier in the year–and that’s even before taking into account maximum occupancy thresholds, which have almost certainly increased as compared to last fall due to staffing strides.
Despite this inventory spike, many Walt Disney World hotels are sold out for a range of dates in the next several months. The simplest and most straightforward explanation for sold out resorts at Walt Disney World is demand. We’ve been warning ad nauseam of “Revenge Travel” at Walt Disney World. You’re probably sick of hearing about this, but the travel industry continues to see strong bookings due to consumers shifting their spending from goods to services to make up for lost time.
Last year, the expectation was that the start of the World’s Most Magical Celebration would be incredibly busy. Walt Disney World’s 50th Anniversary would take years-in-the-making “homecoming” trips last October through December, adding another wrinkle to pent-up demand. The Delta variant had other ideas, and October ended up being one of the slowest months of the year, with crowds not really recovering. The weeks of Thanksgiving and Christmas were still busy, but otherwise, crowds were relatively muted.
However, demand does not account for the “fully booked” hotels at Walt Disney World, at least not entirely. While Walt Disney World is not capping park attendance as before, this is occurring at the resorts.
This is not as a vestige of physical distancing. Instead, it’s due to staffing shortages. These persist in key roles that disproportionately impact the resorts at this point.
As a whole, Walt Disney World has turned a corner on its staffing shortages. The College Program’s accelerated resumption and Walt Disney World’s aggressive hiring blitz are now paying off. Tons of new employees have gone through Traditions training and been assigned to locations around Walt Disney World.
Consequently, Walt Disney World’s theme parks are mostly fine. Attractions, retail, and most other areas are adequately staffed.
However, this is not true across the board. Walt Disney World continues to hold job fairs, and is offering hiring bonuses and higher pay for certain roles. In particular, Walt Disney World has had ongoing and significant shortages for housekeeping, cooks, and bus drivers.
To remedy the bus driver shortage, Walt Disney World has contracted with a third party coach bus company (hence all of the Academy buses around the complex for the last several months). Not having much success, Disney recently increased hiring bonuses–some are now up to $6,000 depending on the position and location of the applicant! The company is also offering referral bonuses to current Cast Members who recruit new hires.
In an attempt to take pressure off the housekeeper shortage, Walt Disney World unofficially “banned” 1-night stays for peak holiday season travel dates. This restriction was never publicly announced, but if you tried to book a single night reservation, no availability would’ve shown via the online booking engine. If you expanded that to 2-nights encompassing the exact same dates, viola, there was availability.
That limitation on 1-night bookings is now gone, but don’t be surprised if Walt Disney World brings it back should demand exceed supply (of housekeepers) again. If this does happen, it’s likely to occur from late November through early 2023. (It’s worth noting that we are still encountering similar 3-night minimum stays for certain Hilton and Marriott hotels in the Flamingo Crossings area.)
During several quarterly earnings calls this year, CEO Bob Chapek addressed how staffing is impacting Walt Disney World operations. He has said that the company has “self-imposed capacity constraints” as a form of “mitigation” due to problems with staffing shortages for several positions that are integral to the guest experience.
Even before Chapek spoke about this issue, we addressed Walt Disney World’s housekeeper shortage. The causes of the current labor shortages are multifaceted, and the analysis in the above post applies to both housekeepers and cooks. By and large, it’s something that won’t be remedied by hiring bonuses–it has gotten better, but will likely continue to be an issue in 2023 and beyond.
These staffing woes directly impact operations, occupancy, and the guest loads that resorts can accommodate. In particular, Disney can’t fill every resort room every night if there aren’t enough housekeepers to turn them all over by check-in time. Insufficient dining capacity at restaurants and food courts likewise means Disney can’t fully book all rooms at a resort without causing issues at peak meal times.
Prior to Chapek confirming this, we had heard rumblings about these issues for months and of room inventory being held back as a result. Rumors of Port Orleans Riverside operating with only a handful of its buildings filled with guests, Contemporary Resort having minimal issues relocating guests when undertaking a last-minute refurbishment of half its rooms, and many more anecdotes. The totality of these stories strongly suggested that the hotels were leaving a large percentage of their rooms unfilled to reduce other pressures around Walt Disney World related to the staffing shortages.
In searching for room options in November and December 2022, we are once again seeing many or most resorts sold out. While it’s normal for some resorts to be sold out, usually most have at least some options. It’s also worth noting that the above date range for Veterans’ Day is particularly bad–worse than Thanksgiving, Christmas, or other busy weeks.
Even in searching other dates during the holiday season with better availability, it’s difficult to find anything for Pop Century, Caribbean Beach, Yacht Club, Beach Club, Wilderness Lodge, and the Polynesian. All are difficult to score for full trips, as are other hotels from time to time.
When trying to assess “real” demand levels, it’s also worth point out that the lack of availability often does not extend to third party resorts to nearly the same degree. Sure, there are the dates when the price of the Swan & Dolphin or Four Seasons randomly skyrockets to absurd territory, but that’s not all that abnormal.
Many other times, there’s no availability at Disney-owned hotels but there’s no shortage of reasonably priced third party alternatives. Suffice to say, if Walt Disney World doesn’t have hotel availability or the rack rates you’re seeing are too pricey or beyond your comfort zone, consider booking a refundable rate at third party properties.
We’re seeing availability at the Swan & Dolphin, Bonnet Creek, Disney Springs, Grand Cypress, Universal, and Flamingo Crossing hotels. If you haven’t had Flamingo Crossings on your radar before, it might be worth considering. Several hotels have opened in the last year, including Target, Walgreens, and multiple other retail, dining, and grocery locations.
Ultimately, that should help explain what’s going on with unavailable rooms at Walt Disney World. Pent-up demand and revenge travel are playing a huge part, and will likely continue to do so due to international visitors even as domestic demand fizzles out. That’s not the full story, though.
There’s also the reality that “fully booked” hotels at Walt Disney World are not even close to 100% occupancy and are not actually sold out of all rooms. They’re capped at lower levels due to staffing shortages, in particular housekeepers, bus drivers, and kitchen staff. As Walt Disney World continues to undertake hiring initiatives and as demand normalizes, this problem should start working itself out.
The availability–or lack thereof–that we’re currently seeing for this holiday season through January 2023 indicates that, once again, pent-up demand is posing a problem for Walt Disney World resort availability. While things had gotten better earlier this year, it’s clear the problem isn’t totally resolved. Here’s hoping Christmas 2023 plays out differently, but you may want to book something sooner rather than later even for next holiday season. We’ll keep you posted as this situation continues to change.
Planning a Walt Disney World trip? Learn about hotels on our Walt Disney World Hotels Reviews page. For where to eat, read our Walt Disney World Restaurant Reviews. To save money on tickets or determine which type to buy, read our Tips for Saving Money on Walt Disney World Tickets post. Our What to Pack for Disney Trips post takes a unique look at clever items to take. For what to do and when to do it, our Walt Disney World Ride Guides will help. For comprehensive advice, the best place to start is our Walt Disney World Trip Planning Guide for everything you need to know!
YOUR THOUGHTS
What do you think is driving the availability issue at Walt Disney World? Do you think pent-up demand is the big issue, with people making up for lost time traveling and not caring how much they’re paying? Think the housekeeping, dining, bus driver, or other staffing shortages help explain the problem? How do you expect the hotel inventory problem to play out? Do you agree or disagree with our commentary? Do you agree or disagree with our advice? Any questions we can help you answer? Hearing your feedback–even when you disagree with us–is both interesting to us and helpful to other readers, so please share your thoughts below in the comments!
A couple of months ago I had trouble finding much choice for rooms in early February 2022. I highly suspect this is a staffing issue and they are not opening all rooms yet. Hopefully this along with Uber availability will improve quickly as people get back to work.
We’re going Nov14-21, so we’ve been struggling to make ADRs…..It’s so disappointing……first time for our 8 & 10 year old grandkids and none of the restaurants we wanted to surprise them with, i.e. Beaches & Cream, Space 220,O’Hana, etc have ANY availability. Should I keep trying?
book early, I did, since January for Fort Wilderness resort in early November for 7 nights celebrating my 58th bday, going solo with two tickets for my son, but he decided to join the Marines and shipped out for boot camp …
I agree. It doesn’t make sense.
I was consistently checking the night of 11/5 for a standard room at BWI to open up. I was checking multiple times per day every single day, and there were usually 6-10 hotel options every time I checked.
The day after the Florida resident offer came out, every single room disappeared and now every time I check, there is zero available. Not even pricy suites.
It was like they removed the inventory overnight…
@Katy
Can’t you just book a longer stay and then call to modify it?
I agree with Patrick K. Touring Plans’ algorithm for predictions have been pretty accurate as they’re predicting WDW overall crowd levels at 4 out of 10 for the 1st week of November that we’ll be there , so I’m going with staffing shortages for the hotels. As far as a shortage of housekeepers, I’d be willing to do our own housekeeping. They used to have the option of “Service Your Way” with a gift card incentive but since their shutdown, they don’t offer it.
Our airline moved us up to arrive earlier than we planned so we had to scramble to find alternative lodging arrangements that would extend our stay another night since there was nothing available at our already reserved Caribbean Beach stay. I’m hoping that their staffing situation improves so that we won’t have to move from hotel to hotel.
It’s definitely weird. In 2019, we spontaneously added our Christmas trip in October with a decent discount and tons of hotel availability, and it was pretty packed that year. In addition to the All Stars delay, I still find the anniversary park hours to be really suspicious if it’s really going to be record breaking crowds. Someone on another forum pointed out that the MK hours were longer for the Fourth of July! So I find it unbelievable that WDW is as booked as the hotel availability makes it seem (and also maybe a bad call by WDW since people have every incentive right now to dip their toe into third party hotels even before Disney forced their hand).
Thanks, Tom, for your plausible explanations. Perhaps for your next mystery you can figure out why MK, usually the champion for fall/Halloween snacks, is leaving us hanging this year! No pumpkin spice Mickey waffle sundae?!?
It makes no sense. Something has to be going on. We had to cancel our October trip, and would like to reschedule later this year. Our original trip was October 15-21. The hotel options during these dates are still numerous. I would think this has to be a popular time due to many schools having their fall breaks (ours included). However, random weeks in the beginning of November and December are sold out. It truly does not make sense. I’m getting frustrated!!
This article is great timing. I had been studying this trend just this morning trying to wrap my brain around it. There’s inventory for Christmas week, but not the first two weeks of December? It doesn’t make sense. There is no way there will be more crowds those two weeks than Christmas week. I am not even staying on property in December (never do), but I find it perplexing what is going on. I have stuck with continuously checking a M-F stay for most weeks in Oct, Nov, and Dec outside the holiday weeks to track trends over the last several weeks. I figured this helped filter out the “weekenders” who tend to fill up the property on the weekends, which is more “normal”. Anyways, today I am noticing a lot more inventory available most weeks in October. It’s starting to sprinkle into November as well, but December hasn’t changed yet, which has virtually no availability right now. However, several weeks ago virtually all 3 months had no availability during my checks. It seems the closer the particular week I search gets to the 30 day cancellation deadline more inventory comes available. I really think that inventory isn’t populating until closer to 30 days out. I’m not sure why that is, but I think that the staffing shortages may be a significant factor. Also, I emailed the folks at Touring Plans recently too to get their opinion on why there is virtually no availability at the resorts, yet they are planning 3s and 4s in early December. They stated that resort hotel availability is a poor indicator of potential crowds in the parks due to the way Disney manipulates their inventory and the inventory being farmed out for conventions, etc., which few participants of said events actually enter the parks. I tend to trust their site given they are powered by over 10 years of data and statisticians with way more brain power than me. Their models are accounting for the 50th and likely the trends of wanting to travel because of COVID. SO all that to say I am just as confounded by this as Tom and the rest of you. However, I’d say check around the 30 day out mark, and I think you may be happier with your options. I just hope it proves to be decent and average (I’ll take lower too) crowds during our visit.
bus drivers are in demand everywhere. a school district near us had to call off classes earlier this week because there were not enough drivers to get kids to school.
We arrive 11/21, so today was our ADR day. What a nightmare. I don’t see how they can open up anymore space for guests to book hotels. There is basically nothing available for restaurants! Unless you want to eat all your meals in DS or dinner at 3:50pm or 9:30pm, there is going to be lots of disappointment.
Also, the site was Disney tech at it’s finest. Coding 18+ members as kids (so they couldn’t make reservations), saying CC was invalid (but if you re-added it as new, it worked), not allowing you to search everything by day / time (only each restaurant individually).
All in all, a terrible experience. And one I get to do again tomorrow to try for CA Grill.
I should imagine a lot of the rooms are booked as well by international travellers esp from the UK… we have a room booked at beach club in October for 2 weeks which will now be cancelled as the borders aren’t open till November .
Patrick K- I’m seeing the same thing. Guess we’ll find out together that week.
Disney is FOS right now. The website has no availability for NEXT Nov/Dec for the 2 weeks after Thanksgiving. And plenty of random weeks through the year 2022 are showing no availability as well. No way everything is booked up through next year.
We are staying in a preferred room at caribbean beach in mid October. Shortly after booking in February, we decided the preferred room was not worth the extra cost. We’ve been calling regularly since April to try and change to a non-preferred room. Every time, we’re told there are NO rooms available for any of our dates. Hard to believe that a resort the size of Caribbean Beach can’t accommodate a room change of any kind over a 5 month period. Something’s up.
As usual this is very informative, Tom.
An unrelated question. When do you think WDW taken down the Xmas decorations? I’m heading down for the Disney Marathon on 1/9. I’m hoping that they are still up. I’m wondering with the 50th Anniversary happening that things might be a bit different with the decorations.
I was able to get a room at Pop Century for the long weekend of the race.
I tried to book into DVC in early January 2022 and nothing was available for my length of stay.
Interestingly, the folks over at Touring Plans have overall crowd levels for the first two weeks of December as 3-4 up until the 15th. On the one hand, that mostly aligns with historical data for that time (if a bit higher than normal years), but on the other, it isn’t as big of a spike as I and many others expected for the early part of the 50th celebration. And on the third hand (for all you Naked Gun fans out there), I tend to trust those folks and their algorithms, so basically I have no idea what to think for my visit on December 7-10!
My experience: in late August, Pop Century had no mid-December availability for any room type, Standard, Preferred, or Pool View. In early September, though, Standard rooms suddenly popped up as available. I attributed the availability to cancellations. But, the same dates have remained available, so I now wonder if additional inventory was added.
What I have noticed is that if you only want a 3 night stay, your choices are very limited. If you add more nights, more options come up. I am trying to changes hotel for the beginning of October and currently do not have any options until I add the fourth night, then I have bunches of choices.